upcarta
  • Sign In
  • Sign Up
  • Explore
  • Search

Philip E. Tetlock

16 Followers
community-curated profile
Author of books at the intersection of psychology, political science, and organizational behavior including Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction and Expert Political... Show More

Author of books at the intersection of psychology, political science, and organizational behavior including Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction and Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? Co-principal investigator of The Good Judgment Project.

Show Less
Overview Posts Content Recommendations
Popular Recent
  • Tweet
  • Book
Philip E. Tetlock @PhilipETetlock · Mar 18, 2022
  • From Twitter

For understanding how tricky it is to translate “historical understanding” into forecasting accuracy, I recommend the elegantly threaded arguments of @ProfPaulPoast

Tweet Mar 18, 2022
Russia is about to default on its foreign debt. That's a bit unusual, even for Russia. To see why, we need to go back to 1918. [THREAD] https://t.co/IWxs4GUESd
by Paul Poast
Post Add to Collection Mark as Completed
Recommended by 1 person
1 mention
Share on Twitter Repost
Philip E. Tetlock @PhilipETetlock · Feb 6, 2022
  • From Twitter

Herding cats is an apt metaphor for organizing academics—& even more apt for coordinating adversarial collaborations. But, somehow, Cory is pulling it off. Her thread below is worth reading. Her SPSP session in two weeks is worth attending

Tweet Feb 6, 2022
1. Science often contradicts other science. When this happens, disputant scholars tend to work separately, designing their own new studies to launch at their opponents. These new studies rarely persuade the other side, and contradictory claims live i
by Cory Clark
Post Add to Collection Mark as Completed
Recommended by 1 person
1 mention
Share on Twitter Repost
Philip E. Tetlock @PhilipETetlock
  • From www.amazon.com

An elegant fusion of poker-table street-smarts and cognitive science insights. This book will make you both a shrewder and wiser player in the game of life.

Book 2018
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
by Annie Duke
Post Add to Collection Mark as Completed
Recommended by 23 people
25 mentions
Share on Twitter Repost
  • upcarta ©2025
  • Home
  • About
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Cookies
  • @upcarta