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For understanding how tricky it is to translate “historical understanding” into forecasting accuracy, I recommend the elegantly threaded arguments of @ProfPaulPoast
Herding cats is an apt metaphor for organizing academics—& even more apt for coordinating adversarial collaborations. But, somehow, Cory is pulling it off. Her thread below is worth reading. Her SPSP session in two weeks is worth attending
An elegant fusion of poker-table street-smarts and cognitive science insights. This book will make you both a shrewder and wiser player in the game of life.