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Cooperation among an anonymous group protected Bitcoin during failures of decentralization

  • Paper
  • 2022
  • #Bitcoin #DataScience
Alyssa Blackburn
@AlyssaBlackburn
(Author)
Christoph Huber
@chrhuber_
(Author)
aidenlab.org
Read on aidenlab.org
1 Recommender
1 Mention
Bitcoin is a digital currency designed to rely on a decentralized, trustless network of anonymous agents. Using a pseudonymous-address-linking procedure that achieves >99% sensitivi... Show More

Bitcoin is a digital currency designed to rely on a decentralized, trustless network of anonymous agents. Using a pseudonymous-address-linking procedure that achieves >99% sensitivity and >99% specificity, we reveal that between launch (1/3/2009), and when the price reached $1 (2/9/2011), most bitcoin was mined by only sixty-four agents. This was due to the rapid emergence of Pareto distributions in bitcoin income, producing such extensive resource centralization that almost all contemporary bitcoin addresses can be connected to these top agents by a chain of six transactions. Centralization created a social dilemma. Attackers could routinely exploit bitcoin via a “51% attack”, making it possible for them to repeatedly spend the same bitcoins. Yet doing so would harm the community. Strikingly, we find that potential attackers always chose to cooperate
instead. We model this dilemma using an N-player Centipede game in which anonymous players can choose to exploit, and thereby undermine, an appreciating good. Combining theory and economic experiments, we show that, even when individual payoffs are unchanged, cooperation
is more frequent when the game is played by an anonymous group. Although bitcoin was designed to rely on a decentralized, trustless network of anonymous agents, its early success rested instead on cooperation among a small group of altruistic founders.

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Jameson Lopp @lopp · Jun 7, 2022
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This "early bitcoin miner" paper makes some odd conclusions due to misunderstanding how the protocol works, but it's not completely devoid of interesting analysis. In particular, the temporal analysis of Patoshi miner downtime vs Satoshi public activity...
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