Military analysts generally looked at the scale of forces arrayed against Ukraine and said this was too big to signal anything but war. It certainly looks like they were right.
But that doesn't mean that domestic politics will go away, and that we will be able to ignore it forever.
Not all Russians -- regardless of their place in the socio-economic food chain -- may be happy with that transaction.
Interesting, reflective thread on how/why so many Russia and foreign policy experts were so wrong in their predictions about Ukraine, while military analysts, broadly, were more correct. One key difference is paying attention to costly signals: interpreting the force build-up.