Michael Kofman

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Director, Russia Studies at CNA. Senior Adjunct Fellow, CNAS. I follow Russian military capabilities, operations & strategy. Opinions are mine alone, hopefully.

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Thread by Michael Kofman: A few thoughts on the current course of the war. Although winter has proven a transitional phase, with both sides focusing on force reconstitution and positional fighting. The outlines of the coming months & likely offensive operations are steadily b
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- Feb 6, 2023
by Michael Kofman
Thread by Michael Kofman: Thoughts on the current state of the war. First half of the thread is a bit of a catchup for me, having not posted anything last weekend, and then the rest on where things might be heading & what to look for in the coming weeks. Thread. (map belo
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- Apr 2, 2022
by Michael Kofman
Thread by Michael Kofman: Long thread about how I think the first 96 hours have gone, still very early/incomplete impressions. The initial Russian operation was premised on terrible assumptions about Ukraine’s ability & will to fight, and an unworkable concept of operatio
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- Feb 28, 2022
by Michael Kofman
Beyond Ukraine’s Offensive
- Article
- May 10, 2023
by Michael Kofman and Rob Lee
Thread by Michael Kofman: A few thoughts on the Russian winter offensive, which began 3+ weeks ago, and has so far yielded little progress for RU forces. Poor force quality, loss of junior officers, ammunition, and equipment constraints limit Russian offensive potential. Thre
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- Feb 19, 2023
by Michael Kofman

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