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Tweet by Kamil Galeev: Why Russia will lose this war? Much of the "realist" discourse is about accepting Putin's victory, cuz it's *guaranteed*. But how do we know it is? I'll argue that analysts 1) overrate Russian army 2) underrate Ukrainian one 3) misunderstand Russia

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  • Feb 27, 2022
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Kamil Galeev
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Why Russia will lose this war?

Much of the "realist" discourse is about accepting Putin's victory, cuz it's *guaranteed*. But how do we know it is?

I'll argue that analysts 1) overrate Russian army 2) underrate Ukrainian one 3) misunderstand Russian strategy & political goalsđź§µ

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Noah Smith 1y

Galeev worth reading as always

Jack Murphy 1y

Epic thread

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