Thread by Stephen Stapczynski
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NEW: The US and Europe committed to remove some Russian banks from SWIFT, isolating the nation from global financial channels
πΊπΈ πͺπΊ π₯ π·πΊ
π¨ Europe uses SWIFT to send payments for Russian natural gas, so a ban may significantly disrupt supplies
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-26/eu-u-s-agree-to-disconnect-some-russian-banks-from-swift
πΊπΈ πͺπΊ π₯ π·πΊ
π¨ Europe uses SWIFT to send payments for Russian natural gas, so a ban may significantly disrupt supplies
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-26/eu-u-s-agree-to-disconnect-some-russian-banks-from-swift
My colleague @JavierBlas makes a good point that might be exemptions just for Russian oil and gas payments
Itβs still early and details are scant, but removing Europeβs ability to pay for gas could trigger a global price surge
There is only so much spare LNG, and global competition for spot cargoes has already been pretty fierce
China, Japan, Korea are eager to refill stockpiles
There is only so much spare LNG, and global competition for spot cargoes has already been pretty fierce
China, Japan, Korea are eager to refill stockpiles
Another update:
(Itβs still unclear the exact impact any of this will have on gas/oil deliveries)
(Itβs still unclear the exact impact any of this will have on gas/oil deliveries)
Looks like US/EU will specifically target Russian institutions so it wonβt have a big impact on energy payments
US official says looking for ways to exempt certain institutions that conduct most energy transactions
π RECAP: It seems that the US/EU are aiming to remove some Russian institution from SWIFT, but they are still looking for the ban to have a minimal impact on flows of oil and natural gas
(Still, things are moving fast)
(Still, things are moving fast)
There isnβt any indication that the ban will affect institutions like Gazprombank, which facilitates payments for Russian energy exports
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Derek Thompson @DerekThompson
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Feb 26, 2022
Good thread for context