He's the clear favorite. But Iowa polls aren't very reliable at this stage and the other candidates are only a normal-sized polling error behind.
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Jason Scott Montoya @JasonSMontoya
·
Aug 22, 2023
- Post
“The poll leader at this point won seven caucuses and lost eight, so they’re batting a little under .500. And a lot of the misses are recent. In fact, no candidate since 2004 who led the late-summer Des Moines Register poll actually went on to win the Iowa caucuses — except for Hillary Clinton in 2016, who just barely did.”
Jason Scott Montoya @JasonSMontoya
·
Aug 22, 2023
- Curated in Donald Trump 2024