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MINI LECTURE 15 - Conditional vs. unconditional correlation: twin studies overestimate heredity.

N N Taleb's Probability Moocs
102K subscribers
12K views 2 years ago
Description The genetics of twin studies have a bias showing more heredity than in reality, owing to a statistical artifact. The twin studies for heredity is based on comparing the correlation between 2 identical twins minus that between 2 fraternal ones (assumed to be sharing half their genes). The use of fraternal twins as control is assumed to extract the "environmental" factors. Problem: Correlation is conditional and psychologists think it is unconditional . We show how the math is entirely different. The core error is that genes and environment are not separable and additive. ...more
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MINI LECTURE 15 - Conditional vs. unconditional correlation: twin studies overestimate heredity.
305Likes
12,710Views
2023Feb 24
Description The genetics of twin studies have a bias showing more heredity than in reality, owing to a statistical artifact. The twin studies for heredity is based on comparing the correlation between 2 identical twins minus that between 2 fraternal ones (assumed to be sharing half their genes). The use of fraternal twins as control is assumed to extract the "environmental" factors. Problem: Correlation is conditional and psychologists think it is unconditional . We show how the math is entirely different. The core error is that genes and environment are not separable and additive.

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N N Taleb's Probability Moocs

102K subscribers