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512 pages, Hardcover
First published September 15, 2020
The book spends a lot of time providing its own perspective on global geopolitical events, with oil and gas/energy considerations as the drivers. Even in 2020, the author believes that energy equations make and break the superpowers, and whatever the big nations do is to enhance their energy security.
The view is excessively US-centric and US-biased. The book's tone is completely different while talking about certain American developments or US-affecting situations - say the Shale industry, the natural gas trade, or even the climate-related drivers. The tone is different while discussing or forecasting the opposite - for example, history or personalities or the future of Russia, China, or the Middle Eastern nations that are US adversaries.
The author shies away from radical medium-term forecasts. He discusses the environment, Autotech, and alternate energy source industries. However, the author presents no strong arguments, except beliefs based on the last hundred years history, that coal, oil, and gas usage will remain more or less on the same path for decades to come despite the climate concerns and technology changes.
Similarly, the near-term forecasts are equally superficial and based on patchy assumptions. The author is too quick in dismissing any significant changes from the Covid fallouts.The book's best parts are about the US fracking industry. The author is a brilliant writer. He makes the tale flow effortlessly from one topic to the next, traversing the world, and that too spanning almost a century. In his hands, the context of so much we have observed and experienced becomes nothing but oil, shaped by energy moguls and politicians working from the background.
The scale of this system is enormous and cannot change overnight. So far, the energy transition has actually been, in the words of energy strategist Atul Arya, 'the phase of energy addition'. Wind and solar have been increasing, but they were doing so atop conventional energy, which was also growing.